It's nice to see he actually showed up this time.
Last Week: 11-5
This Week: 3-0
Overall: 28-18
My recent hot streak could not have come a moment too soon, as Mrs. CSzem has detailed, the littlest member of our family (my son, not my penis....) has taken ill over the last few days. Baby meds are not cheap, so let's hope that the picks keep flowing. Last week was very successful, and this week is off to a flying start, as even my Cowboys managed to pull off a cover (despite the fact that they blew a very winnable game....). The amazing (or perhaps, not so surprising) thing about these picks is that I do absolutely no research. And I mean that. I am the kind of guy who spends hours pouring over stats and analysis to try to figure out what I'm going to do for fantasy teams, or for making "friendly" wagers (with my bookie), but for these picks, due to the journalistic time constraints Tewks places me under, I pull up the lines on my phone and I write down a pick. No wonder I'm doing much better.
On to the picks!
Washington (-1) v. Minnesota
This is a "green" pick, because I'm recycling the exact same thing I've said the past few weeks for Minnesota. They are horrible, and Vegas refuses to acknowledge it. Why is this virtually a pick'em?? Washington is clearly the better team (not that they're all that good), and they're at home.
Pittsburgh (-6) @ Buffalo
A weird line. Buffalo has become a bit of a "lovable loser" who keeps games close and is a tough out. I think the Steelers have turned it up a notch based on their man-handling (not the Big Ben kind....the football kind) of Oakland last week. They'll bury the Bills.
Tennessee (+6.5) @ Houston
If Houston was a good, well-coached, team, they'd easily handle this game. Tennessee is down to their third-string QB, who is someone that I have literally never heard of. He's a rookie, and I watch hours and hours of college football, plus the full NFL combine, plus the full NFL Draft. And I've never even heard his name mentioned. And yeah, I'm picking him on the road in his first career start. That's how little faith I have in the Houston secondary.
NY Giants (-7) v. Jacksonville
Amazingly, one of these teams is leading their division, and it's not the Giants. Jacksonville has to be the worst team in history to be leading their division after American Thanksgiving. They should get pummeled in this game, as they have in a few other road contests this year.
Carolina (+10) @ Cleveland
Carolina is horrendous, but I just don't think Cleveland should be laying 10 to anyone. They play up or down to their competition and will probably win a really ugly game that no one will watch.
Tampa Bay (+9) @ Baltimore
One of these days, Josh Freeman is going to be respected by the oddsmakers. Evidently, today is not that day. Tampa hangs tough here. They lost by 6 at Atlanta (a tougher place to play).
Chicago (+3.5) v. Philadelphia
Dangerous home dog that seems to be coming together well right now. Everyone's all aboard the Philly hype train, so in the NFL that usually means they're about to be derailed so we all remain confused.
Green Bay (+1) @ Atlanta
The toughest game to pick on the board, without question. I'm going with the Packers because Mrs. CSzem took them in the pick'em pool.
Seattle (+1) v. Kansas City
Kind of a screwy line for me. Both of these teams are "good at home, not so good on road" type teams. I think it'll be close, but I think Seattle should be favoured in their building.
Denver (-4) v. St. Louis
Purely for spite. St. Louis cost me a lot of money last week by not covering at home against Atlanta.
Indianapolis (-3) v. San Diego
Peyton Manning is only laying 3 points in prime time? Seriously? Is it possible to arrange a second-mortgage on my house by Sunday night at 8:15?
Arizona (+1) v. San Francisco
I think this is the third straight year these teams have played each other on MNF, which is absolutely insane. Who finds this game compelling?? Seriously? It wasn't even a good game when Kurt Warner was still playing. They've played this game in Mexico on MNF, and then last year I was in Vegas while it was going on (perhaps might explain my bitterness about the matchup....didn't go well). But just an awful, awful matchup. I'll take the home team.
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